- The Safe Investor
- Posts
- Boost Stocks Traits
Boost Stocks Traits
Tesla 2019
Finding stocks that will shoot up involves combining technical analysis with staying updated on relevant news and events. This approach helps investors identify potential high-growth stocks and make informed investment decisions. Let's explore this strategy using a real example from the past: Tesla Inc. (TSLA).
Real Example: Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) provides a great case study on how combining technical analysis with news events can identify stocks that will shoot up.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Analysis: In late 2019, TSLA was in an upward trend. The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average (Golden Cross) in December 2019, signaling a bullish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): In December 2019, the RSI for TSLA moved above 70, indicating overbought conditions. However, this often suggests strong momentum in a trending market rather than an immediate sell signal.
Volume Analysis: During the same period, TSLA saw significant volume spikes, confirming investor interest and supporting the bullish trend.
Support and Resistance Levels: TSLA broke through key resistance levels around $390 in December 2019, with strong volume, indicating a potential for further gains.
Chart Patterns: A cup and handle pattern formed in late 2019. The breakout from this pattern was confirmed by increased volume, indicating a bullish continuation.
News and Events:
Earnings Reports: On October 23, 2019, Tesla reported a surprise profit for Q3 2019, which was a significant positive surprise for investors. The stock jumped more than 20% the next day.
Product Launches and Innovations: In November 2019, Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck. Despite mixed reactions, the event generated significant media buzz and pre-orders, reflecting strong consumer interest and potential revenue growth.
Regulatory News: Positive developments in electric vehicle (EV) regulations and increased government incentives for EVs globally provided a favorable backdrop for Tesla's growth.
Outcome:
Following these events and technical signals, TSLA's stock price surged from around $390 in December 2019 to over $900 by February 2020, demonstrating the effectiveness of combining technical analysis with news events to identify stocks poised for significant upward movements.
By analyzing Tesla's past performance through both technical indicators and news events, you can see how this approach helps in identifying stocks with high growth potential.
Where To Find Bullseye Trades ?
|
Technical Analysis Strategies
1. Trend Analysis:
Moving Averages: Use moving averages (MA) to identify the direction of the trend. Commonly used MAs are the 50-day and 200-day MAs.
Golden Cross: Occurs when a short-term MA (e.g., 50-day) crosses above a long-term MA (e.g., 200-day), indicating a bullish trend.
Death Cross: Occurs when a short-term MA crosses below a long-term MA, indicating a bearish trend.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: RSI values above 70 indicate overbought conditions, while values below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Divergence: RSI divergence from the stock price can signal a potential reversal.
3. Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Significant increases in trading volume can precede big price moves. Look for volume spikes that accompany price movements to confirm the trend.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV combines price and volume to show how much volume is flowing into or out of a stock.
4. Support and Resistance Levels:
Identifying Levels: Use historical price data to identify key support and resistance levels.
Breakouts: When a stock breaks through resistance levels with strong volume, it can signal a strong upward move.
Pullbacks: Stocks often retest support levels before resuming their uptrend.
5. Chart Patterns:
Head and Shoulders: Indicates potential reversal patterns.
Double Top/Bottom: Signals a trend reversal.
Cup and Handle: Suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
News and Events Strategies
1. Earnings Reports:
Positive Surprises: Stocks often shoot up following better-than-expected earnings results. Pay attention to earnings season and companies with strong quarterly performance.
Guidance: Forward-looking statements and guidance can significantly impact stock prices.
2. Product Launches and Innovations:
New Products: Successful product launches can drive stock prices higher. Monitor announcements for innovative products or services.
Technological Advances: Companies announcing breakthroughs in technology often see stock price spikes.
3. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A):
Acquisition Announcements: Stocks of companies being acquired often see a rise in price. Likewise, acquiring companies can also benefit if the market views the deal positively.
Strategic Partnerships: Alliances and partnerships can enhance a company's market position and drive stock prices.
4. Regulatory News:
Policy Changes: Government policies and regulatory changes can affect industries and individual companies. Positive regulatory news can lead to stock price increases.
Approval of Drugs/Products: Especially relevant in the healthcare and biotech sectors, where FDA approvals can significantly impact stock prices.
5. Market Sentiment and Macro Events:
Geopolitical Events: Political stability, international trade agreements, and macroeconomic data releases (e.g., GDP growth, employment rates) can influence market sentiment and stock prices.
Market Trends: General market trends and sentiment often drive individual stock movements. Staying updated on overall market conditions is crucial.
Combining Technical Analysis with News
News-Driven Breakouts:
Use news events to identify potential breakout stocks. Combine this with technical analysis to confirm the breakout.
Volume and News Correlation:
A news event that leads to a significant increase in volume can validate the importance of the news and the potential for a strong price movement.
RSI and Earnings Reports:
Use RSI to gauge the stock's momentum before earnings. A stock with an RSI below 30 (oversold) before a positive earnings report could indicate a strong buying opportunity.
Chart Patterns and News:
Identify chart patterns and look for news that could act as a catalyst to complete the pattern. For example, a cup and handle pattern might complete following a positive earnings report.
Reply